16
Jan

Wednesday Morning – GDP

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Market Sentiment Watch: Brexit plan failed. U.S. shutdown continues with no apparent progress being made to reopen. China and bank earnings still in focus. Market seems to take big news in stride of late. In today's post please find the oil inventory preview, the early read on natural gas inventories (consensus actually shaping better than we expected), comments and a cheat sheet on GDP, and some other odds and ends. Yesterday we got the first of the big three monthlies this month, the EIA STEO (see brief, positive comments below), which was benign and positive in a number of ways.   Tomorrow we get the OPEC Monthly. Friday we get the IEA monthly.

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get Retail Sales at 8:30 am EST (Headline forecast = 0.0% vs last read of 0.2%; ex autos forecast is same),
  • We get the import price index at 8:30 am EST (no forecast, last read was -1.6%),
  • We get business inventories at 10 am EST (no forecast, last read was -1.6%),
  • We get the Home Builders' index at 10 am EST (no forecast, last read was 56),
  • We get the Beige Book at 2 pm EST. 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watc​h - with oil and natural gas inventory previews
  3. Stuff We Care About Today - GDP
  4. Odds & Ends

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15
Jan

Tuesday Morning – More Wind

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Market Sentiment Watch: Same focus as yesterday: China, Brexit, bank earnings plus EIA STEO. In today's post please find comments and a cheat sheet on another wind name, the early read on oil and natural gas inventories, and some other odds and ends. We look forward to the EIA STEO around noon EST today. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get PPI at 8:30 am EST (F= -0.1%, last read was +0.1%),
  • We get Empire State at 8:30 am EST (no forecast, last read was 10.9),
  • We get the EIA Short Term Energy Outlook at approximately noon EST.  

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Stuff We Care About Today – TPIC
  4. Odds & Ends

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14
Jan

Monday Morning

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Market Sentiment Watch: Shutdown continues, market eyes are on China (2018 saw a record trade surplus vs the U.S), India (potential slowdown from each with tariffs on the horizon), big bank earnings, and Brexit. In energyland look for increasing news flow from our names and monthly reports out of EIA, OPEC, and IEA this week. In today's post please find The Week That Was and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • No economic data release scheduled.

The Week Ahead:   (several items may be delayed but the Shutdown this week)

  • Tuesday - PPI, Empire State, EIA STEO
  • Wednesday - Retail sales, import price index, business inventories, home builders' index, 
  • Thursday - Jobless claims, housing starts, building permits, Philly Fed, OPEC Monthly,
  • Friday - Industrial production, capacity utilization, consumer sentiment.  

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. The Week That Was
  4. Stuff We Care About Today –  Our Week Ahead
  5. Odds & Ends

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12
Jan

Wrap – Week Ended 01/11/19

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Our ZLT is up 14.6% YTD, in line with the XOP and Service benchmarks and roughly double large cap energy and oil and well over double natural gas and the broad markets. 

We added VWDRY to our coverage last week. Please see Friday's post here for details. 

Questions and comments under The Wrap will be addressed in the Monday post. 

 

Not a member? We can fix that.  Register at upper left or if you have questions about the site contact us at zman@zmansenergybrain.com. Want to see a sample? Check out our Thursday post which was open to the public. 

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11
Jan

Friday Morning – Vestas

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Market Sentiment Watch: China, Brexit, Shutdown and inflation in market's eye. In today's post please find the the natural gas review (bigger than expected pull still yields sharp reductions to both deficits; next week look for a smaller draw), our initial piece on wind player Vestas, and some other odds and ends. Next week we get monthly outlook data from OPEC, IEA, and EIA (STEO). 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get CPI at 8:30 am EST (F = 0.1%, last read was 0.0%; Core F = 0.2%, flat with last read),
  • We get the federal budget at 2 pm EST (no forecast, last read was -$23 B).

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watc​h
  3. Natural Gas Inventory Review 
  4. Stuff We Care About Today - VWDRY, FANG
  5. Odds & Ends

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