25
May

T.G.I.F.

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Market Sentiment Watch: OPEC+ attempting soft landing with message to market this week shifting to "cool it". Expecting a slow second half to the day today if not the full session. Expect bargain hunting to kick in in the group in the near term.  In today's post please find the the natural gas review (in line injection, little change to the five year average deficit, back to low triple digits next week), comments and a post quarter cheat sheet update for LBRT, comments on the CPE acquisition (after MTDR we said to expect more of these, this one is a low priced deal and should go over well), and some other odds and ends. On this Memorial Day weekend we express our gratitude to heroes who are no longer with us, especially to my wife's grandfather, Pop, who did his part over Italy in WWII.  He is missed. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get durable goods at 8:30 am EST (F = -0.9%, last read was 2.6%),
  • We get consumer sentiment at 10 am ESt (F = 98.9, last read was 98.8). 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watc​h
  3. Natural Gas Inventory Review 
  4. Stuff We Care About Today - LBRT, CPE
  5. Odds & Ends

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24
May

Thursday Morning – PVAC

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Market Sentiment Watch: Sentiment remains intact as profit taking/protection has come on light volume without a commensurate commodity leg lower ... bargain hunting soon. In today's post please find the oil inventory review (poor headline numbers, better demand internals, noisy import / export picture for both oil and mogas), the natural gas preview (consensus edging lower as the report approaches, making last week the peak of the shoulder ... good to see), a requested name update, and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get jobless claims at 8:30 am EST (F = 219,000, last week was 222,000),
  • We get existing home sales at 10 am EST (F = 5.5 mm, last read was 5.6 mm).

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watc​h
  3. Oil Inventory Review 
  4. Stuff We Care About Today - PVAC
  5. Odds & Ends

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23
May

Wednesday Morning – PES, XOG

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Curious about becoming a subscriber to Zman's Energy Brain / Z4 Research?  May is a good time for that. Contact zman@zmansenergybrain.com for one time deals!

If you need technical support with your account please email us at the same address as well and we will take care of it. 

Market Sentiment Watch: Group needs a bit of sideways trading after the recent run. In today's post please find the oil inventory preview, the natural gas inventory preview (still expecting a sub triple digit injection), comments and a cheat sheet update for PES, a cheat sheet update for XOG, and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get new home sales at 10 am EST (F = 678,000, last read was 694,000),
  • We get FOMC minutes at 2 pm EST. 

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watc​h - with oil and natural gas inventory previews
  3. Stuff We Care About Today - PES, XOG
  4. Odds & Ends

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22
May

Tuesday Morning – OAS

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Curious about becoming a subscriber to Zman's Energy Brain / Z4 Research?  May is a good time for that. Contact zman@zmansenergybrain.com for one time deals!

If you need technical support with your account please email us at the same address as well and we will take care of it. 

Market Sentiment Watch:  In today's post please find the oil inventory preview, cheat sheet update and comments for OAS with potentials and our updated for new deck EBITDA (note that with the 1Q18 guidance, management came up to our production target established last December and the Street is walking up to us now), and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • No economic data release scheduled.  

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. Stuff We Care About Today –  OAS, PES
  4. Odds & Ends

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21
May

Monday Morning

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Curious about becoming a subscriber to Zman's Energy Brain / Z4 Research?  May is a good time for that. Contact zman@zmansenergybrain.com for one time deals!

If you need technical support with your account please email us at the same address as well and we will take care of it. 

Market Sentiment Watch: Lighter week on the economic data front. Energy sentiment continues to improve though we see the oil move up as extended and due for a bit of pullback (see comments in The Week That Was below). We were pleased to make it through last week with benign reports out of OPEC (slight increase in the call on OPEC for 2018 noted and little in the way of additional non OPEC supply) and a set of generally positive comments out of IEA the following day.  The ZLT is up 19% in the last 3 months more than offsetting the group pullback we had in 2017. Our highest return personal account is up 37% this year and is up 60% in the last three months (riskier with fewer holdings than the the ZLT which remains near 20% cash and largely upstream and oily).  In today's post please find The Week That Was, what to expect in the week ahead, and some other odds and ends. 

Ecodata Watch:

  • We get the Chicago National Activity Index at 8:30 am EST (no forecast, March was 0.10).

The Week Ahead: 

  • Tuesday - no economic data release scheduled. 
  • Wednesday - new home sales, FOMC minutes, 
  • Thursday - jobless claims, existing home sales, 
  • Friday - durable goods, core capital equipment orders, consumer sentiment.  

In Today’s Post:

  1. Holdings Watch
  2. Commodity Watch
  3. The Week That Was
  4. Stuff We Care About Today 
  5. Odds & Ends

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Continue Reading »

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